Understand our numbers.

Match facts

Schedules, scores, standings, players and lineups come from available sources for covered competitions. Coverage varies by sport. Pages indicate data status and date; missing or doubtful information is never invented.

One analysis, the match in focus

Each analysis brings together our models’ probabilities, context and match information. The ‘High probability’ section brings together retained forecasts with an estimated probability of at least 75%, after our checks. It is an estimate, never a guaranteed outcome.

Success rate

Correct predictions ÷ (correct + incorrect predictions).

Pending, unresolved and void outcomes are excluded from the rate. Analyses produced after scheduled kickoff are also excluded. Losses are always counted. The homepage and newsletter display a percentage from ten settled results; this is not evidence of statistical validation.

Periods and corrections

The homepage covers all available history from the first verified result. Read percentages together with their period and sample size. The overall recap adds results across all three sports; it is not a simple average of three percentages. Dates use Paris time. Source corrections may update statistics; received facts remain timestamped.

What we cannot promise

Scores may arrive late. Some matches or profiles have less coverage. Incomplete history is not artificially reconstructed. A winning run does not guarantee the next outcome.